Conservatives and Lisbon; another fine policy mess?

It is hardly unexpected that William Hauge has confirmed that David Cameron will tomorrow announce that the Conservatives will not be holding a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty. No doubt UKIP will be delighted as they hover  over all those voters in key Conservative marginal. Cameron will at least be pleased there will no official insurgency from the likes of Conservative Home whose commentary is glowing in its endorsement:

At the end of the day, the manifesto on which David Cameron stands and – I hope – wins the general election next year will quite simply trump anything that a referendum on Lisbon a few weeks later would conclude.

However, few Conservative MP’s (for ideological reasons) and PPC’s (for ideological and practical reasons)  are likely to rush to endorse Cameron’s position.  Already, Bill Cash has signalled his non-compliance;

Mr Cash said David Cameron has been “very badly advised” in his decision to rule out a referendum on the Lisbon treaty, and added that the reasons given for the decision “just don’t stack up”.

 

 

While Cameron will undoubtedly carry the day,in the long-term it is something that will unquestionably be stored in the collective memory of the Conservative right for future reference.  Furthermore, Conservative Home is likely to be very disappointed in its hopes for a ‘tough renoegiation’ since the Conservatives, outside the EPP are in no position to renegotiate pretty much anything so while opposition from that quarter is currently muted expect some more to arise.  Indeed, the article states;

Indeed, I think it doubtful whether a Conservative Prime Minister not seeking such a renegotiation would last even a full term.  Spilts within the Party would be huge.

This is not Cameron’s much-anticipated Clause IV moment; in fact, in contrast to Tony Blair who won the day on Clause IV by not compromising Cameron is a Hugh Gaitskell figure; trapped in the contradictions of his own efforts to compromise and unable, precisely because of that compromise to win a complete victory.

 

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About darrellgoodliffe

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2 responses to “Conservatives and Lisbon; another fine policy mess?”

  1. Marc in London says :

    Personally I think Cameron is being consistant with his “now that it’s ratified, it’s not a treaty any more” mantra and I think the criticism levelled at him is unfair. Nevertheless, it is nice to see the Tories being caused headaches over this…

    But, surely, now that Lisbon is an accomplished fact, isn’t it better for all sides – regardless of their politics – to make use of those democratic avenues that are available to them instead of boycotting the serious debate on Europe?

    See for example this article, http://tinyurl.com/yhopcne – an online campaign – the Right2Bet Campaign – hoping to be the first to utilise Lisbon’s “Citizens Initiative” provision. Grassroots campaigns like this can and will make a difference in the new Europe, of that I am sure.

    Like

  2. darrellgoodliffe says :

    Marc,

    Maybe but I think the criticism is symptomatic of wider dissatisfaction with Cameron which will in my eyes gather pace.

    Agreed. I visited the URL you provided and something like that I feel is the way forward. Thank you for sharing it and good look with making that difference.

    Like

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