Cameron gets his facts wrong on population and immigration….

David Cameron, sensing an opportunity to say something his right-wing will like, has told Andrew Marr that he desperately wants to cut immigration and that a population of 70 million is ‘too much for Britain’. Ever the demagogue he expressed ‘concern’ for our ‘burdened’ public services;

“I think we should be focusing on the pressure on our public services – on health and education and housing,” he told BBC1’s Andrew Marr Show.

You have to marvel at the logical contortions of somebody who criticises Labour in the following terms;

the state had gone too far in terms of legislative activism, IT databases, ID cards, and political bureaucracy

and in the next breath supports something that would mean in practice the massive extension of state power. Furthermore, Cameron’s justification for this logical contortion is vauge;

“In the last decade, net immigration in *some * years has been *sort of* 200,000, so *implying* a 2 million increase over a decade, which I think is too much.

The emphasis is mine; so ‘sort-of’ figures in ‘some’ years ‘imply’ this increase. Am I the only one who is now more terrified than before that this man could be Prime Minister? Why is Cameron  being so vauge? Simply, because Cameron’s arguments are based on a false factual premise.

Maybe he should familiarise himself with the actual population projections which do not see the UK’s population passing 70 million until 2033 (71.6) and this is as much due to;

natural increase (more births than deaths)

I wonder what Cameron intends to do about that cause of population growth. Natural change over the last decade has been the main driving force of population increase;

From 2002, natural change has increased and in the year to mid-2008 it accounted for over half of total population growth (54%).

So, Cameron’s argument is based on a fundementally false assumption; that the main driver of population growth over the last decade has been immigration when this is not in fact the case.

If Cameron cannot get his facts right then why should he be trusted on anything else? The simple fact is that the Conservative Party has not changed and neither has David Cameron; he leads a ‘rent-a-quote’ outfit desperate to do anything to gain power. This is why the likes of David Tennant are right to be scared at the prospect of a Conservative Government….

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About darrellgoodliffe

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3 responses to “Cameron gets his facts wrong on population and immigration….”

  1. James Moore says :

    I read your article with interest. Something occoured to me a while back. We go on stating how there is too much immigration and then we pick on a very small minority of assylum seekers many who could be genuine but we ignore the torrent of immigration that occours unchecked from within the eec. EEC nationals do not need to learn english, swear an oath to the queen, take up service in the armed forces, the list is not exhaustive, however we pick on 3rd and 4th generation immigrations and their families and many genuine assylum seekers. Is this just an example of picking out darker coloured people who are smaller in numbers and often with no rights at all because we can’t do anything about the real immigration problem from within the eec ?
    James Moore

    Like

  2. James Moore says :

    London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance.

    CLAIM: Immigration into Britain has risen.

    True. There were about 60,000 economic migrants a year in the early 1980s, and there are now about 150,000 a year. Immigrants were 7 per cent of the UK workforce in 1984 – that had risen to 10.5 per cent last year.

    CLAIM: Britain has a particularly high rate of immigration.

    False. About 8.5 per cent of the UK population was born abroad. In Germany, the figure is 12.5 per cent; in France, 10 per cent; and in the Netherlands, 10.1 per cent.

    CLAIM: Immigrants are from poor countries.

    False. Last year, the top five “sender” countries, who provided some 30 per cent of all immigrants to the UK, were India, South Africa, Poland, the United States and Australia.

    CLAIM: Immigrants tend to be low-skilled.

    Mixed. Fully 20 per cent of immigrants in 2004 had degrees, compared with 17 per cent of the UK-born population. But 19 per cent of immigrants had no qualifications, compared with 15 per cent of UK-born workers.

    CLAIM: Immigration is an economic “problem”.

    Probably not. Most economists argue that immigration is sign of a healthy economy creating jobs and attracting migrants. And since immigrants are, on average, younger than UK-born people, they do not contribute to Britain’s pensions crisis.

    CLAIM: Immigrants place a burden on Britain’s public services.

    Reliable data on the use of services are hard to come by. One solid figure is that 27 per cent of health professionals in the UK were born abroad, suggesting that the NHS at least benefits from immigration.

    CLAIM: Immigration is an important issue all across the UK.

    Actually, immigrants are not evenly spread across the UK. South-east England draws almost half of all immigrants, despite making up barely 20 per cent of the UK population. Scotland attracts a disproportionately small number of immigrants, and needs more to offset a fast-falling population.

    CLAIM: There are thousands of illegal immigrants at large in Britain.

    True, but no one knows the exact number. The government refuses to give an estimate, although one leaked Home Office document suggested up to 500,000. Migrationwatch UK, an anti-immigration think-tank, estimates 250,000. Nobody knows just how many people from the EEC are in the UK but between 2004-2008 the new eec A8 countries accounted for over 2 million plus immigrants

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  3. darrellgoodliffe says :

    James,

    Thanks for that comprehensive reply.

    Like

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